Player bets add extra excitement to betting on sports games. They give valuable insights into a player’s ability to perform well in daily fantasy baseball or when placing bets on your favorite sportsbook.
Below are a few player prop bets our AI-powered projection model identified as offering an edge, ranging from superstars projected to exceed their expectations to some unexpected diamonds in the rough.
MLB Proposition Bets
Yoan Moncada to Get more than 0.5 Hits (-210, FanDuel)
Despite the White Sox's struggle, Yoan Moncada is performing well. He had 2 hits in the previous game against the Atlanta Braves to continue his 3-game hitting streak. Moncada has a .250 batting average this season and has hit in 13 of his last 15 home games. I anticipate that Moncada will continue his hitting streak today against the Braves’ fifth starter, Reynaldo Lopez, who does not have a great variety of pitches and tends to throw a lot of fastballs, which Moncada performs well against.
Ozzie Albies to Get more than 0.5 RBIs (+130, FanDuel)
Taking another pick from the same game, and I love this bet even more. Albies has averaged over a hit in his last 10 games and has recorded 7 RBIs in his last 3 games. He performed well against left-handed pitchers last season, finishing with a .391 batting average against them. Albies will face Garrett Crochet, who isn’t exceptional, ending last season with a 3.55 ERA. Crochet did have a solid first start of the season against the Detroit Tigers, but he will be facing a much better lineup this time and will not get to pitch around anyone. Last season, Albies had a 1.023 OPS against left-handed pitchers.
Alex Wood to Get under 4.5 Strikeouts (-132, FanDuel)
I will continue to take advantage of betting against the Oakland Athletics. After a defeat from the Boston Red Sox last night, I do not expect Alex Wood to fare much better. Wood has never been much of a strikeout pitcher, with only about a 17% strikeout rate since the beginning of 2023. In his 13 starts since 2023, Wood has only managed 5 strikeouts in 3 of those games. Our projection model anticipates Wood to record only 2.1 strikeouts and pitch for just 3 innings against a Red Sox lineup that is very aggressive and disciplined at the plate.
Mookie Betts to Get more than 1.5 Total Bases (+100, FanDuel)
Arguably, Mookie Betts has had the hottest start among hitters so far, which is not too surprising. Betts has accumulated over 1.5 total bases in 6 out of 7 games this season, hitting 4 home runs in the process. In his 23 career plate appearances against Logan Webb, he boasts a .318 batting average and a .545 slugging percentage.
MLB Home Run Proposition Bet Pick of the Day
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to Get more than 0.5 Homeruns (+680, FanDuel)
I usually do not recommend betting on players hitting a home run, but I figured why not for Dinger Tuesday on FanDuel. Gurriel has hit a home run 4 times out of his last 10 games, which means this bet has been successful 40% of the time in that span, which is really good. Gurriel is off to an incredible start this season and was named NL Player of the Week.
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