The first games of the NCAA Tournamenthave finished, with several surprising wins breaking brackets across the country. The No. 14 seed Oakland Golden Grizzlies defeated the No. 3 seed Kentucky Wildcats with the help of Oakland’s new star, Jack Gohlke.
Even though Gohlke scored 32 points, our AI-powered model predicts he won't have a similar performance in the Golden Grizzlies’ Round of 64 game against the Wildcats.
Here are some March Madness bets involving players who will exceed or fall short of expectations, giving us an edge in betting. Let’s explore these DFS forecasts and offer a betting analysis for the Round of 32!
March Madness Bets for March 23
Jermaine Couisnard Over 17.5 Points (-105) – Caesars
Following an outstanding 40-point performance in the Round of 64, our AI-powered model predicts Couisnard will deliver another impressive game against the Creighton Bluejays.
Couisnard has averaged 16.1 points per game on 40% shooting from the field and 33.7% from beyond the arc, providing the Ducks with strong perimeter scoring alongside their center, N’Faly Dante.
Although this line is nearly 1.5 points above his average, Couisnard has been in top form recently. He has averaged 22 points on 19.1 field goal attempts per game in his last seven matches.
Our dfsPro Daily model predicts Couisnard will end this game against Creighton with 19.6 points, 3.5 points higher (+21.74%) than his season average.
Jack Gohlke Under 13.5 Points (-104) – Caesars
It's difficult for me to bet against a March Madness hero after such a historic performance, but our AI-powered model suggests that Jack Gohlke may not perform as well in this game against the N.C. State Wolfpack.
In the Golden Grizzlies’ Round of 64 game against Kentucky, Gohlke scored 32 points with a 10-for-20 shooting from beyond the arc, which is just one point away from an NCAA Tournament record.
Our model predicts that Gohlke will finish with 11.7 points, 8.59% lower than his season average of 12.8 points.
Gohlke has played outstanding basketball in the last 11 games, averaging 18.3 points on 45% shooting from the field and beyond the arc. However, Gohlke’s weakness is that he doesn't have much of an offensive game inside the arc or off the dribble. Gohlke specializes in scoring from three-pointers, almost exclusively.
During that time, Gohlke has only attempted 0.4 field goals per game from inside the arc and has averaged just 1.5 free throws per game.
Additionally, N.C. State’s defense on the perimeter has been exceptional in their last three games, limiting opponents to only 27% shooting from beyond the arc. Expect the Wolfpack to prevent Gohlke from getting many chances to shoot threes.
Final Note
The N.C. State Wolfpack have claimed victory in six consecutive games, including five in five days during the ACC Tournament. In those six matches, the Wolfpack have defeated opponents by an average of 10.1 points per game, holding them to just 42.8% shooting overall and 30.8% from beyond the arc.
Furthermore, N.C. State’s offense has improved significantly during the tournament, with a 48.8% shooting rate overall. The Wolfpack will face Oakland in a bid to reach the Sweet 16.
Listen tomorrow for more March Madness player props, predictions, guidance, and examination.
